Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-21 2.005514 2.288887 2.600154 2.967785 3.390590 3.862171 4.428813
2025-09-28 1.547837 1.906647 2.333331 2.879485 3.561997 4.389356 5.472347
2025-10-05 1.338188 1.758438 2.293045 3.026170 4.010427 5.293199 7.103333
2025-10-12 1.187021 1.649460 2.273183 3.181627 4.480647 6.285777 9.009689
2025-10-19 1.045285 1.525028 2.206048 3.251934 4.833306 7.159858 10.888061
2025-10-26 0.930481 1.417724 2.141707 3.307759 5.161856 8.034573 12.897606
2025-11-02 0.805087 1.274483 2.000659 3.220719 5.249792 8.542889 14.400167
2025-11-09 0.687040 1.125323 1.828246 3.054871 5.179091 8.774380 15.463344
2025-11-16 0.615838 1.041880 1.749009 3.028488 5.331893 9.391214 17.279392
2025-11-23 0.550063 0.958736 1.658819 2.968736 5.413463 9.887226 18.942395
2025-11-30 0.525700 0.943992 1.683627 3.115031 5.885492 11.152617 22.265248
2025-12-07 0.494058 0.912002 1.673072 3.192956 6.236386 12.233299 25.389766
2025-12-14 0.452017 0.857154 1.616388 3.180001 6.417383 13.025669 28.095511
2025-12-21 0.401906 0.781221 1.511113 3.057664 6.360451 13.327217 29.799199
2025-12-28 0.386675 0.771746 1.533983 3.199148 6.875856 14.911330 34.669773
2026-01-04 0.373898 0.765592 1.562517 3.355968 7.447002 16.704023 40.361094
2026-01-11 0.353840 0.741939 1.551958 3.426110 7.833450 18.136642 45.441720
2026-01-18 0.334447 0.717408 1.536508 3.482868 8.196491 19.568760 50.789840
2026-01-25 0.304981 0.667623 1.460422 3.389855 8.187543 20.096474 53.851941
2026-02-01 0.272544 0.607714 1.355167 3.214288 7.949990 20.015076 55.231329
2026-02-08 0.253778 0.576959 1.312948 3.186174 8.081319 20.902287 59.513456
2026-02-15 0.234453 0.542878 1.259320 3.123000 8.112849 21.530527 63.163984
2026-02-22 0.230234 0.544148 1.289714 3.277250 8.746152 23.895725 72.521125